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Ultimate Fundamentals Discussion

Trends based on economic laws, research, and history.

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Kelvin Low  ← click to see portfolio
12/30/09 11:44 AM




I have got a very simple question here and would like to solicit views on where the market is headed. Are we looking at a reversion of the yield curve towards mean or can we expect the yield curve to steepen further? What do you guys think?




Freddie Marcello Lopez
12/22/09 12:01 PM




Ultimate Fundementals eh ... well I got some:
Japans running debt 200% over its GDP; its the kinda burden countries fall apart with.
Rise of china theme, mostly because of its population/surpluses. And not for its ideology.
US standard of living will decline sharply, ( 310 million people hogging THE MAJORITY of petro resources in a world with 6.8 billion inhabitants is the definition of unsustainable! "The american way of life being non-negotaible" notwithstanding, this will imbalance will correct. Painfully.
And history doesn't repeat itself sucka's ... it rhymes.




ben frank
12/15/09 09:12 PM




@russell. The U.S. standard of living will decline as the world gets smaller that cannot be compromised. The one thing the U.S. has is innovation.

http://www.hhse.biz




Shaun Peterson
12/11/09 11:50 PM




I agree with Russell. However, I would add that the scariest statistics facing our nation in the long run are these three very important ones:

1.) A trade deficit of $550 billion as of September.
2.) 70% of our economy is based on consumer consumption. (I am not advocating government consumption instead, just merely stating a point.)
3.) A 25% drop in the filing of patents in the US.

Those three things worry me the most. I am going to hold back from a rant, but I would like everyone's input on these.




Russell
12/07/09 07:09 PM




I'm still a little worried about the U.S. Economy. We have a great commercial infrastructure, but it's eroding in the face of short-term investment decisions. We also have a declining education system (generating many millions more burger flippers than college graduates), and a huge Federal debt (can you say $80,000 per working American and growing?) If it wasn't for our strong entrepreneurial spirit, I'd say we're sinking. If Obama wants to stimulate the economy, he needs to put $100-billion of the TARP money returns in the hands of average Americans, especially for scholarships and tax breaks.




ben frank
12/03/09 01:45 AM




http://www.hhse.biz




Investing IQ
124
Chris Lau
11/30/09 10:49 PM




I know nothing about pharma but what i do know is r&d. PFE laid off a substantial # of its r&d staff to "find synergies."

Look at roche+genentech. It kept its r&d and is focusing on high-margin business.




Ong Kiat Beng
11/13/09 06:58 PM




@Andrew... you are really well read. Blame George Bush and Goldman....




Andrew Otten
11/10/09 04:48 PM




We should've never repealed Glass-Steagal. History always repeats itself.




Fahad Shaikh
11/09/09 03:56 PM




no views on PFE people?




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