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Michael Pettis, former banker and currently professor of finance at Peking University, writes on China and developing-country financial markets |
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Don't count too heavily on China's domestic marketNov 3, 2008
There’s still no respite for Chinese stocks. The market bounced around violently today with the SSE Composite making at least eight or nine up or down moves of more than 1%, before closing the day at 1720, down 0.5% for the day. This is the...
Worrying about the banking systemSep 23, 2008
While Monday’s stock market, led by the banks, continued Friday’s big bounce back, rising 7.8% to add to Friday’s 9.5% surge, leaving us at a 2-week high (largely on buyback talk, I think), worries about the banking sector actually...
PPI inflation and the trade surplus are both much higher than expectedAug 11, 2008
Yesterday I suggested that July’s PPI inflation might be a little higher than June’s already-high 8.8%. Most other analysts seemed to agree with me, with the median estimate Open in a new windowaccording to Bloomberg at 9.0%.
Of Course Chinese Dollar Holdings Rose, But Something Changed DrasticallyJun 22, 2008
The discussion about whether or not China will continue funding the US deficit by buying dollar assets has been going on for a long time...
Some Anecdotal Evidence of Risks in the Banking SystemNov 30, 1999
But back to banks. Yesterday I had an interesting lunch with a Chinese investor. We were discussing the informal banking sector in China, and he agreed that it seems to have grown a great deal in the recent past. Interestingly enough, according to...
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